Hardwood timber market seeing excellent prices
By Jim Griffith
Everyone remembers the 1998 timber market
when prices went through the roof. The
really unique thing about that market was prices for all timber products
skyrocketed at the same time. It was an
extraordinary market that resulted from numerous circumstances occurring
simultaneously. The economy was good, building was booming and paper-packaging
products were in hot demand. This drove up prices for solid wood products and
pulpwood.
Although demand for timber was high, the supply was down for
several reasons. Canadian timber imports were at bay for the time. The
endangered Spotted Owl had shut down logging in the Northwest. In the
Southeast, rains came all summer long and set in to stay throughout the winter,
resulting in even lower inventory at wood manufacturing supply yards.
This brief period was the perfect storm of
circumstances that led to unprecedented stumpage prices for all timber
products. We had not seen such high
prices before that time and have not seen them since.
Free trade agreements, global shrinking due to improved
communication and transportation, and ever-increasing imports into our country
are anything but helpful to timber owners who wish to sell their products at those
one-time high prices. The increase in international alliances and continued
opening of our borders to developing countries that have lower production costs
than the U.S. (due to subsidized timber and less stringent environmental
regulations) puts us at a competitive disadvantage that keeps our prices where
they are.
As the short-lived high demand and low supply
of 1998 disappeared, so did our all time high timber prices. Many timber owners have held off selling
their timber in hopes prices would climb to what they heard a neighbor got for
his timber a decade ago. That was 10 years ago and if that is the price a
landowner is still waiting on, then they have a long wait yet to come.
Judging from the sluggish economy we are currently experiencing,
some might think it’s not the time to consider selling any timber. Although
pine sawtimber prices are somewhat reduced, I am receiving prices for hardwood
that I have never seen before! These high hardwood prices are for both pulpwood
and hardwood sawtimber.
If you hold off selling because of a neighbor’s advice, you might
just miss an excellent peak in the market and find yourself waiting another 10
years wondering if the price is ever going to come back around. Will your
neighbor chip in to cover the loss you incur due to their untimely advice?
We have had several smaller cycles in
timber prices during the past 10 years. If you are not close enough to the
timber market to know when prices are rising, you might just miss one of these
cycles, especially if it is short lived and gone by the time you get the word
on the street. You may need Georgia Farm Bureau’s independent forestry
professionals looking after your best interest. Call Jim Griffith at (478)
747-0812 to stay on top of the land and timber market.
Jim Griffith
is the general manager of the GFB Timber & Real Estate Companies.